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U.S. economy poised for nose dive: Major recession feared when 'liquidity bubble' bursts...
“…the disaster back in the 1920's, My children, was as nothing compared to what will happen now. I talk of a great depression coming upon mankind." - Jesus, October 1, 1988
WorldNetDaily reported on April 21, 2007:
As the dollar sinks to near-record lows against the euro and the British pound, the stock market has returned to record highs, but investors are being advised to anticipate a worldwide downturn and the U.S. economy may have already entered a recession.
An explanation may be found in a private investment letter published by the Carlyle Group to its "professional investors."
WND has obtained a copy of a Jan. 31 letter by the Carlyle Group's founding partner and managing director, William E. Conway, Jr., to the firm's investment professionals worldwide.
In the letter, Conway attributes the continued rise of world stock markets to a glut of liquidity in the world financial system, which he describes as "the availability of enormous amounts of cheap debt."
Conway writes, "This cheap debt has been available for almost all maturities, most industries, infrastructure, real estate and at all levels of the capital structure."
He says there is so much liquidity in world financial systems that "lenders (even 'our' lenders) are making very risky credit decisions."
WND previously reported concern that the decision of the Federal Reserve to quit publishing a traditional index, "M3," a broad measure of the money supply, signaled a decision to pump the economy with excess liquidity.
Since the Fed quit publishing M3 data, economists who have attempted to re-create the index from other available data have estimated M3 data would today be reporting upwards of a 10-percent increase in the money supply, a high level by historical standards.
"Liquidity" is defined by economists as money available in all forms to be given out as debt, ranging from credit card debt to mortgage debt to large quantities of institutional debt typically used in complex financial transactions such as highly leveraged corporate acquisitions.
Excess liquidity, as reflected in the rise of highly leveraged hedge fund accounts, has been widely seen as a major factor in the rise of the stock market in the recovery since 9/11.
Conway cautions that "this liquidity environment cannot go on forever." He warns that "the longer it lasts, the worse it will be when it ends."
Looking on the bright side of what could be a major recession when the liquidity bubble bursts, Conway advises, "And of course when [the liquidity bubble] ends the buying opportunity will be once in a lifetime."
He adds, "But I do not know when it will end."
Bob Chapman, who publishes a bi-weekly Internet newsletter, The International Forecaster, has issued his reconstructed M3 estimate to100,000 subscribers.
"The world is awash in money and credit," Chapman said. "My numbers show M3 increasing at about a 10-percent rate right now."
Chapman has spent 45 years in the finance and investment business, including 28 years as a stockbroker specializing in gold and silver shares. He publishes his newsletter from an undisclosed address outside the U.S.
In his April 14 newsletter, Chapman wrote, "The effort to save the American economy, which began in 2001, has finally come full circle and the Ponzi scheme is coming unraveled. The overextension of credit, outrageously low interest rates and loans to the totally unqualified have finally come home to roost."
For months, Chapman has been warning that the U.S. economy entered a downturn in February 2006. Chapman expects it will develop into a prolonged recession caused largely by the bursting of the housing bubble and the weakness in the dollar attributable to the United States' large federal budget deficit and international trade imbalance.
At the same time, Chapman has been predicting for months that the dollar will challenge the technical support point of $USD 80 on the world currency markets.
On Thursday, the dollar index closed at $USD 81.64 in a steady decline that began at the end of February.
The euro late last week was trading as high as $1.3576, near its December 2004 record of $1.3539. At the same time, the pound rose to $1.9938, its highest point since September 1992. The pound last reached the $2 mark 14 years ago, when the UK was ousted from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism.
Chapman has argued the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve have been trying to manage a gradual devaluation of the U.S. dollar.
Chapman expects the dollar could lose as much as an additional 20 percent of its value this year alone. In the last five years, the dollar has lost 35 percent of its value against the euro.
Still, until debt defaults force a crisis in the world debt markets, Chapman agrees with the Carlyle Group that excess liquidity will continue to buoy the world stock markets, including the New York Stock Exchange, to new highs.
Chapman also agrees with Conway that when the liquidity bubble bursts, the decline in world stock markets could be sharp and severe, possibly even reaching crash magnitudes on the downside.
"Tens of billions of dollars have already been lost in the U.S. sub-prime lending market and the contagion is spreading as the media tries to cover-up what is really going on," Chapmen wrote in his March 28 newsletter. "We are watching the disintegration to an extent of the entire mortgage market, which encompasses 25 percent of all outstanding credit."
Chapman continued: "We predicted this three years ago and those who believe they are savvy discovered the problem a couple of months ago. This is a general meltdown and do not think it isn't, and it has several years to go until the real estate sector is purged."
The Carlyle Group, a large Washington, D.C., private equity firm headquartered founded in 1987, has close ties to the administration of President George H.W. Bush.
WND also reported the Carlyle Group has established a new team to invest in Mexico. The team includes Mark McLarty, president of Kissinger McLarty Associates and former chief of staff and special envoy to the Americas for President Bill Clinton.
"My child and My
children, the days will grow darker, and there will be hunger in your land. Yes,
My child, what I brought you here for this evening is to tell the world that
there will be a crash in the monetary doings of your government—an absolute
crash that will affect every man, woman, and child in the United States and
Canada, and then, like a serpent, creep all over Europe, until the world sees
one big, massive depression. I can illustrate to you, My children, what I mean
by this monetary depression.
"Should you go and wish to buy a small instrument, even a guitar, that We
hear plucking away at the dervishly, and devilry, of what is called the musical
Mass, strung by guitars, and other creations of satan. My child, I go on to tell
you, you will say that the guitar is not a costly item, but in order to buy this
guitar you will carry an actual satchel, an overnight bag-size, My child—let Us
put it that way clearly—of notes, your currency. It will take a whole suitcase
of paper—paper money that no longer has a value. You will soon be reduced to
bartering for your food.
"My child, I know you are affrighted at this word 'war'; 'death', 'turmoil',
'depression', but what can I do but tell you the truth. I cannot smooth over it,
for I would be accepted like those upon earth who like ostriches, they walk
about, proud in their scientific knowledge." - Our Lady of the Roses,
September 7, 1985
The awesome Bayside Prophecies...
http://www.tldm.org/Bayside/default.htm
These prophecies came from Jesus, Mary, and the saints to Veronica
Lueken at Bayside, NY, from 1968 to 1995:
A godless nation shall
fall! . . .
"Without
My Son you are lost. A godless nation shall fall. A nation that has been eaten
away and rotted by sin shall fall. A nation that has turned itself back and
regressed to a state of animal living bordering on all sins of the flesh and
impurity; given over to all manner of seeking things of the world; power, lust,
envy, hate, murders, abortions, worship of false idols; loving money, power, and
lacking the instinct of survival when survival can only be reached by pleading
from them to the merciful heart of the Eternal Father." - Our Lady, June
13, 1981
A great money disaster . . .
"My child and My children, pray a constant vigilance of
prayer. Keep this going throughout the United States and all of the nations of
the world, for there is little time left. Soon, in the plans of the Eternal
Father, He shall set forth and allow to come upon mankind, a great money
disaster. In this way it will prove to you that the disaster back in the
1920's, My children, was as nothing compared to what will happen now. I talk of
a great depression coming upon mankind." - Jesus, October 1, 1988
Destruction of the world monetary systems . . .
"You
will understand and broadcast the message to the world that there will be a
great destruction in the monetary systems of the world. It will affect both the
United States and Canada, and all the great powers of the world. And I repeat
again: You will go to your stores to do your shopping carrying papers which may
as well be newspapers, for the value they will have to purchase even food will
be nil.
"How can a great country like the United States fall, you say, My child?
You ask Me in your heart. I read your heart. I will tell you why. Because they
have given themselves over to satan. When a country has lost its morality and
seeks the pleasures of the flesh, giving over, themselves over, to all manner of
abominations, like homosexuality, and condoning this up the highest courts of
the land, then that country shall fall." - Our Lady, November 1, 1985
Gathering of the world's
money to control the masses . . .
"Man
shall not create a new world as he seeks. For there cannot be a lasting world
without His God. And I speak not of the false idols and gods that man creates
in his human nature! There is only one Creator.
"You who cast aside this knowledge and choose to set yourselves up by power
and the gathering of the world's money to control the masses, you will find that
all of your power and all of your volumes of gold and silver cannot hold back
the heavens as they descend upon you in a just chastisement. The world, the
earth shall tremble, fear shall come upon mankind as he watches the approach of
the destruction that he himself has chosen to set loose." - Jesus,
February 10, 1978
Evil force like an
octopus . . .
"There is a great evil force now enshrouding your world; it is like an octopus
reaching out in every direction to ensnare the world. It is a force of evil set
up by satan. There are many arms of the octopus controlled by the monies of the
world.
"For the love of money and riches, many will sell their souls to get to the
head. O My children, what do you gain if you gather all of the riches of the
world and destroy your soul. When you come over the veil, and you will come over
the veil, what will you bring with you - nothing of the material. You must
gather your riches in Heaven now. They are supernatural: the graces, the merits
that will allow you to enter into the Kingdom of
your
God." - Our Lady, June 24, 1976
The Illuminati . . .
"There is a group in the United States and the world, a
group that started many years ago, calling itself the Illuminati, coming from
the word 'light bearer'. Naturally, My children, this light that they bear
stands for Lucifer, and as such they have gone through the world secretly known
as Luciferians. They have brought into your country, the United States, and
your neighbor Canada, a group of witchcraft practices. Well have they laid
their plan to destroy your children with drugs, using your school systems, your
medias of communication, your newspapers, your televisions, your radios: every
means of communication has been infiltrated by the member and sub-members of the
Illuminati, a conglomeration of individuals and powers and principalities
throughout the world, and banking systems. As you well know, My children, money
has always been the root of all evil, and many have sold their souls to get to
the head." - Our Lady, November 25, 1978
You are worshiping idols . . .
"My children, you must change your values back to the plan of your God. As a
nation, as a country, as in many countries throughout the world, you have become
paganized and immoral. My children, it is the gauge for the fall of mankind:
immorality and paganism. No nation shall stand without its God, the God in
Heaven.
"Man is creating many new gods, gods to feed his human nature; and it is a
basic carnal nature. Idolaters abound. When you worship in abundance things, My
children, you are worshiping idols! If you spend your time gathering things,
money, power, you are worshiping idols. Remove yourself from these worldly
pursuits.
"It is a narrow road to the Kingdom of your God, Heaven. Many are called
but few are chosen. The road with satan is wide. Many walk it and can never
leave, because there are too few prayers said for them and by them.
"Nothing is impossible to your God. Man shall never reach the highest
pinnacle of Heaven in knowledge." - Jesus, March 18, 1978
Many will sell their
souls to get to the head . . .
"The road to
Heaven, My children, is a narrow one; too few stay upon it. For they are
often carried away with the cares of the world, and the pleasures of the
materialistic pursuits, and their gathering of money and prestige and power.
For what? For the few short years allotted to each human upon earth.
I ask you to ask yourself: is it worth it to lose your soul? Many will
sell their souls to get to the head." - Our Lady, November 20, 1979
Gather your graces . . .
"You cannot accept
two masters. One you will love, and the other you will learn to hate. And
remember, My children, where your treasures are, your heart will always lie. And
better that you gather your treasures in a place where there is neither rusting,
nor attacks by moths, and robbers cannot take them from you. Store your
treasures in Heaven, My children. Gather your graces. You must ransom your soul
and the souls of your children, your households. Do not wait expecting to be
repatriated at the last moment, My children. Many are coming across the veil
unprepared, and, sadly, they cannot be accepted into the Kingdom." - Jesus,
August 5, 1977
Store canned goods,
water and blankets . . .
"My children, I caution you now, and I wish that you remember these
instructions from several years ago in earth's time that I gave to you, to keep
in your homes a good supply of canned good. They have shelf value, My children,
they will not spoil. But better that you keep them and they spoil than to have
come upon you the great Chastisement. It will be a ball of fire which will
ignite many of the chemicals that are being stored up for the destruction of the
nations.
"My children, not only with the canned foods will you store just food, but
you must also make known to your families and your friends that they had best
keep blankets and water in tight containers; for there will be on the onset of
the Chastisement, there will be nothing that you can buy due to contamination."
- Our Lady, July 1, 1985
Read the Bayside Prophecies:
Articles...
The plan to destroy America - via the dollar
http://www.tldm.org/News9/PlanToDestroyAmericaViaDollar.htmOil producers shun the dollar; Russia and Opec shift revenues into euros, yen and sterling
http://www.tldm.org/News9/OilProducersShunDollar.htmU.S. dollar plunges to 15-year low
http://www.tldm.org/News9/DollarPlungesTo15YearLow.htmU.S. Comptroller General warns the nation of economic calamity
http://www.tldm.org/news9/MonetaryCrashComptrollerGeneral.htmCentral banks caught in gold squeeze may crush dollar
http://www.tldm.org/News9/goldSqueezeMayCrushDollar.htm
Links...
U.S. dollar facing imminent collapse? WorldNetDaily, December 10, 2006
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=53311USA Today report: Real federal deficit 3.5 trillion, Newsmax, August 3, 2006
http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2006/8/3/123820.shtml?s=lh
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